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penny faces new challenges as cash usage declines and costs rise

The penny, long criticized for its lack of value, faces a new challenge as cash usage declines and production costs rise, with each penny costing 2.72 cents to mint. With 240 billion pennies weighing down the economy, calls for its abolition grow stronger, echoing sentiments that could soon apply to nickels and dimes as well. In a modern economy, these small denominations serve little purpose, prompting discussions about their future.

gold price surges towards three thousand amid strong central bank demand

Gold prices have surged over 50% since October 2023, reaching $2,801.00 per troy ounce, driven by strong central bank demand, particularly from China. Analysts suggest that if the current momentum continues, the psychological target of $3,000.00 could be achieved by the end of Q1 2025, with further potential upside to $4,000.00 in a prolonged bull market. However, risks such as a stronger US dollar and rising real yields could impact gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.

DAX Surpasses S&P as ECB Prepares for Interest Rate Changes

The Federal Reserve maintained its key interest rate amid high inflation and uncertainty regarding the new Trump administration's economic policies, particularly concerning potential import tariffs. In contrast, the European Central Bank is poised to cut rates, with a possible increase in March if U.S. tariffs are avoided. Meanwhile, the DAX has outperformed the S&P over the past three months, driven by a lack of exposure to the recent AI stock downturn, raising questions about the sustainability of this trend.

bitcoin dips below 100000 amid trump disappointment and fed uncertainty

Bitcoin has fallen below $100,000 amid investor disappointment over Donald Trump's lack of concrete steps regarding cryptocurrency regulation and strategic reserves. The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where a pause in interest rates is anticipated, adds to market uncertainty, while key US price data is set to be released later this week.

us trade policy faces aggressive tariffs and potential global retaliation

UBS forecasts an aggressive US trade policy as the most likely scenario, predicting a 30% effective tariff on China and retaliatory measures from Beijing. The bank anticipates solid US economic growth despite trade tensions, with equities expected to rise 8% this year and a decline in Treasury yields by 2025.

us equity markets poised for growth amid global economic challenges in 2025

The year 2025 presents both challenges and opportunities for financial markets, with the U.S. expected to maintain its economic dominance, projecting a GDP growth of around 2%. The technology sector, particularly artificial intelligence, is anticipated to drive U.S. equity markets positively, while Europe shows limited growth but signs of recovery, aided by potential interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank. In contrast, China faces moderate growth prospects, and India emerges as a strong economic player, benefiting from shifts in global manufacturing dynamics.

emerging markets poised for growth amid global economic shifts in 2025

Raiffeisen Capital Management anticipates a constructive 2025 for capital markets, with global economic growth projected at 3%. While inflation is expected to decline, potential risks include U.S. election outcomes and trade policies under the new administration, which could impact interest rates and market stability. Emerging markets like India and Indonesia are favored for their growth potential, while U.S. equities may benefit from low inflation and falling interest rates, despite sectoral shifts.

investment outlook for 2025 focusing on equities and economic trends

Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer of Global Wealth Management, outlines key data points to monitor as 2025 approaches, emphasizing positioning for lower interest rates, potential upside in US stocks and gold, and a cautious stance on the US dollar. Political uncertainty in Europe and trade policy shifts under the new US administration are highlighted, alongside expectations for improved Eurozone consumer spending and a focus on China's fiscal policy easing. Overall, a positive outlook for US and global equities is projected, with the S&P 500 forecasted to reach 6,600 by the end of 2025.

ubs forecasts economic growth despite potential impact of trump tariffs

UBS forecasts growth for the US economy despite potential tariffs under President Trump's administration. Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli indicates that while risks will be monitored, the proposed tariffs are unlikely to impede economic expansion or halt the downward trend in inflation, possibly leading to a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this year.

markets brace for policy shifts as trump's inauguration approaches

Markets are poised for volatility as Trump’s inauguration approaches, with expectations of numerous executive orders impacting sectors like financials, energy, and technology. The US dollar's near-term trajectory will depend on the follow-through of Trump's policies, while small-cap stocks may gain traction amid economic resilience. Chinese equities have stabilized, but caution remains regarding US-China relations, and gold prices are testing a critical resistance level, indicating potential upside.
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